Villa Blog

Hawk-Eye Saves Villa – Henderson Saves Sheffield

Hawk-eye saves Villa and embarrasses the Premier League as football returned to the world’s TV audiences with Sheffield United leaving Villa Park after a scoreless draw. Villa were the better team with 15 shots compared to Sheffield’s 5 shots. 6 of which were on target compared to their 1 on target. 12 corners to the Villa compared to 4 from the visitors further shows our superiority. These help to explain Dean Henderson winning the MOTM award for his performance between the sticks for Sheffield. The key moment of the game was when the less than confident Nyland carried the ball across the line. Hawk-eye didn’t work and disallowed a perfectly good goal. If the goal was awarded, Davis would have been credited with the assist for his part in helping Nyland across the goal line.

Smith’s team selection

I think HenleyVillain summed up Smith’s team selection with his post ‘Perhaps there is one positive. Sheffield would not have guessed this line up’. The biggest shock to me was Samatta not starting for Villa as I think he is our best fit striker. Next, and a close second on the shock scale was Hause starting at right back. Davis played really well and but for some excellent goal keeping by Henderson he would have scored but he did enough to make Smith think. Engels and Guilbert were both injured which helps explain the unusual defensive line up. I definitely would have started Elmo at RB before Hause. Nyland is not my preferred number 1 and only for Hawk-eye saving Villa the result could have been very different. I would prefer Steer or Reina. Saying all that, I think the team did well to keep its shape and discipline and rarely looked under much pressure. Hause preformed better than I expected which helped us get our first clean sheet since the 1-0 win over Norwich on Boxing Day.

Best use of substitutions?

For as long as Dean Smith is the Villa manager I have read that his use of substitutes is weak. Against Sheffield United, Smith had the extra flexibility of been able to use 5 substitutes, 4 of which he used. On the 69th minute Trezeguet and Samatta replaced El Ghazi and Davis. Maybe these change could have been made a bit earlier in the game. But in fairness to Smith, Villa had Sheffield under pressure for the preceding 10 mins. Hourihane, Davis and Grealish each coming close only to be thwarted by Henderson. And surly Mings should have had a penalty when Robinson pulled him down in the box.

I would have preferred to see Davis stay on the pitch and play alongside Samatta but unfortunately Smith denied us that opportunity. The second set of substitutions took place 7 minutes later in the 76th minute. This time we saw the tiring McGinn replaced by Elmo and Konsa replaced by Nakamba. None of the substitutes made much impact albeit some fresh legs no doubt helped us see out the game without the customary late goal conceded.

Can Villa stay up with this point?

There is no question that we would all be in a happier place if we had taken the 3 points from Sheffield United. If we had done so, Aston Villa would no longer be in the relegation zone. However, there are 9 games left and the 3 teams above us are only 1 point ahead.

Premier League Table

I have been thinking about what Villa needs to do to avoid relegation over the last week or so. I have come to the conclusion that it is not all about going out and winning lots of games. It is only about just finishing ahead of three other teams. I really don’t care if we finish 17th on goal difference or 10 points clear of the drop zone. The bottom line is that both scenarios mean Aston Villa retain its status as a Premier League team for next season.

Looking at it from this perspective and we need to consider the run ins that our relegation competition have. I don’t see that any team, including Villa has an easy run-in. Each of the 6 teams will be very concerned about relegation. A view of each of the blogs for the 6 teams also shows that a large portion of each set of fans think their club will go down.

The run-in

If I look at each fixture in isolation I can see a possible loss for each of the relegation candidates in every game. This league is really that difficult and although no team will actually lose each of their remaining fixtures, they will all struggle for points. Hawk-eye saved Villa today and we needed this piece of good fortune but we need not to rely on luck. I just can’t see any team running away with safety and as such every single point will count.

There are also a number of fixtures between teams who are both in the bottom 6. This means some teams in the bottom 6 must drop some points on those game weeks. Norwich has 3 games against teams in the bottom 6, if they win those 3 they will be looking at survival. To this end, I think that Expat correctly predicted the outcome to this Premier League about 6 months ago. Aston Villa will be playing West Ham on the final day and the winner will stay up and the loser will go down.

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Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

right,
night all.????

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Night

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

for some reason.
its saying new comments above and below.
but when i refresh they are not there.and it says the same again.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

thats the problem,
results go our way,and we dont get that win to make it even better.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Thats why today is not a great day, if we can beat Chelsea, then yes it will have turned out a great day, lose and the helping hand we have been given will mean nothing.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

you are right mate,
lose tomorrow,and we still will be one of the favourites to go down.

and to be honest,i still think we will drop.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

I think today was good. We need to finish ahead of 3 teams. Norwich, Bournemouth and Hammers lost, we drew against Blades so we have gained a point on each of these team regardless of Chelsea result

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Yes, It was good that Bournemouth and Hammers lost, but we need to capitalise on their defeats by getting results of our own.
Only a win will get us out of the bottom 3 tomorrow , and with games running down , the longer we are in there the more the pressure mounts as each game becomes more crucial.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

Getting out of the bottom 3 is really important. I would LOVE to win tomorrow. Although games are running out, 8 games left (after Chelsea) I do think that making progress is the important thing. If u offered me a draw tomorrow I would bite your arm off and then look to do the double over the Toon on Wed. This close of season if going to be really tough and I think scraping points here and there will be the difference between relegation and survival

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

I agree , making progress is important, the problem for us is that time is not on our side.
I think the next couple of games will give us a big pointer as to whether we will survive or not.
West Ham got beat but they showed a lot of battling qualities tonight , but lost to a side who have far better footballing qualities.
That fighting spirit could play a big part in their survival hopes, we will need to show the same fighting spirit to have any chance of staying in this division, unlike in some games this season, ie the 4-0 loss to Leicester, lf we are going to survive.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Palace beat Bournemouth. Great result

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

a great day for us mate.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Agreed, and that is even with two late late fcuken goals that hurt us. We nearly had a super duper day. A win tomorrow would be the icing on the cake 🙂

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

that would be a great boost for us,
but i fear we will lose.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Yep, I am kinda expecting the loss but I am going for the draw

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Wouldnt say it was a great day for us, tonights results were what we were hoping for and has given us a helping hand.
If we win tomorrow and climb out of the bottom 3 then that will be a great day.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

If we had beat sheff utd it would have been great ,chelsea have beat us 9 out of 10,

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

VV,

I just realised you were talking about Callum Wilson below. It is Harry Wilson I meant that I would like in the summer as an upgrade to ElGhazi or Trezeguet. Harry W is still a Liverpool player and is on loan at Bournemouth. Frank had him at Derby last season

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

I did realize you meant Harry, not so sure on him and would be expensive.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

Big Fat Ron,

i see you asked me about IPTV.
it went down and ive not bovered to try it again.
i have been watching football through Rising Tides,
but the link kept on playing up the other night.
but i managed to watch most of the game.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Mine went today it’s all a bit strange,got a trial on another site within mins tho seems ok,

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

hi all,
not a bad day at all with todays results.
but when will we get that win to give us a lift.
i cant see it tomorrow,but will live in hope.

a question for anybody that knows.
isnt luiz going to man city this summer.i thought it was agreed when we signed him.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Man City has an option to buy Luiz if they want to. Villa must sell him if they make the offer. However, the fee is 30m and we paid about 15m. It is in our interest that Luiz had an okay season so City will not force the sale through. If Luiz was the best DM in the PL then he would have gone. We want him to become the best DM when the clause in the contract expires. 🙂

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

i thought it was £25 mill.
and am hoping he goes.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

He played well against Sheffield. Maybe DS has told him to play badly so City don’t but him back LOL

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

i dont think he has done anything for us to be honest,and believe the only reason he has played so often,is to get the games under his belt to qualify to move to man city

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

City won’t buy him back, they would have to double the money we paid them. Luiz will be at Villa next season. It could be that he was played so much to meet some player registration requirements

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

That looked a red to me

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Yes, some leeway being given by refs i think.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

King is lucky he didn’t break his ankle, In Slow Mo that looked really bad.

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago

here’s a question, I heard commentator mention villa’s game in hand earlier, is it really a game in hand if played the day after?
Lots of stuff creeping into the game these days, agree not sure we really need a drinks break.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

I don’t like including games in the same game week as a game in hand but I suppose strictly speaking it is a game in hand. To me a game in hand is only after the full game week is completed that a team has played fewer games

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Yep

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Harry Wilson is a player that will not drop to the Championship again and I am sure there will be interest in him. He would be a nice upgrade on either ElGhazi or Trezeguet if we stay up

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

There’s a few tbh, not a super star but Lewis Dunk a very good defender also, although looks like they’ll stay up now.

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

We have a full squad now, DS had a horrible task in the last window but the next window will be different. I am hoping to see some progressive upgrades. I am not looking for world class and the likes of Wilson and Dunk are exactly what I am hoping to see come to Villa. That said, they would be 25m/30m each

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Always liked Callum Wilson but we already have Sammatta now similar type of ST.
Bit of a sicknote too.
Did wonder about RHM perhaps getting a look in, plays well with Davies and at the moment would be an upgrade on El Ghazi on the right.
Not sure if clubs are allowed to rename there squads, given the rules changes & contract/loan issues I think they should have some leeway

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

The ruling is that they are not allowed to change the registered squad. Did u see on Damian’s blog, Kevin Starkey (aka Expat I believe) commenting about the dire management decision to remove Heaton from the registered players. Heaton is still injured and the management is at fault for not anticipating Covid -19 stopping football for 3 months and restarting in June LOL

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Keeper situation is a strange one in general, I think Sarcik is now gone but injuries to 1st & 2nd choice keepers not something you would anticipate. Nyland preferred over Reina for me but close call.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Dont think your right on that alias fat kev has been around a long time

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Big fat ron

Yep, tend to agree not quite expats style

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago

No kev didn’t like spud either lol

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  Big fat ron

Well that confirms it 🙂

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  Big fat ron

Is Kevin Starkey also Fat Kev?

Sorry Expat !!

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Yep had to change when discus came along he said

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Kevin Starkey was formally fat kev

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago

washing nearly finished, very tempting to take a drinks break myself with the mrs out

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

It is ‘pm’ in Vancouver now and it is Sunday. A lunchtime beer is allowed

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Err think its Saturday mate ?

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

oops, what a lovely mistake to make, it is normally the other way around. I probably shouldn’t have had that Sunday afternoon drink

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Lol

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago

Ayew & Maupay score today, now Benteke on, if he scores as well we’ll never hear the end of it from the naysayers ???

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

I am sure Cahill will be considered the dest defender on the pitch too ??

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

lol

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Perfect time for Ayew to score, just before the drinks break LOL

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Bournemouth 0 – 2 Palace

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Yep all over ?

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

It does look like it. I think I heard Sky say that it is 30 games since Bournemouth won a game after conceded the lead. So at 2-0 down the Gods are in our favour

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

yep, they don’t concede many when in front under Roy, I expect them to keep it tight now.

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago

Great freekick on the way to another result in our favour?

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Bournemouth 0 – 1 Palace

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Although the Hammers losing was a great result for Villa, I am sure everyone will want to pause for a moment and think of Karen Brady, it must be a very difficult time for her with her team facing relegation.

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Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Very attacking line up by Palace. Two ex Villa strikers starting

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Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

And the fun continues, Bournemouth v Palace kick off in 20 mins

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

This football will cause more divorces than lockdown lol

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  Big fat ron

Absolutely, We have live games every day for a couple of weeks now

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Got to get the washing organized, down side of mrs working today, be back for the late, late game

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