Villa Blog

Will Dean Smith Get It Right Against Wolves?

I think Dean Smith will get it right against Wolves tomorrow because the shackles are finally off. Since the start of the season, Smith has shown his inexperience in this League. As a Villa fan, and as a result of last year’s success, Smith has put himself under immense pressure. Entering this season, neither Smith nor the squad was ready for the Premier League, and this is why we find ourselves in the relegation zone. Smith realises games are running out and this will (hopefully) encourage him to play the football that he showed us at Brentford.

Things that Smith got right

The relegation mini-league table has us in 2nd place, thus showing that there are things that Smith got right. I know this is stating the obvious, but if we continue to outperform 3 other teams, we will be safe.

Relegation mini-league

Last night’s loss by Watford was an excellent result for Villa as this was a game that Pearson would have been targeting to take 3 points from. By not even gaining a point from the game has confirmed Watford as serious relegation candidates. A zero point return since restart for Hammers, Bournemouth and Norwich also verify their status as relegation candidates. Aston Villa has a two-point return during this period, and this is what Dean Smith has got right. We have this advantage because Smith is managing to scrape a point from a game which our competition is proving unable to match.

Things that Smith got wrong

To keep this post to a readable length I will try and stick to just key points that Smith got wrong. Our losses are due to, and aside from losing to better quality teams; a combination of schoolboy errors, selection, tactics and substitutions. We conceded a shambolic goal to Newcastle as a result of schoolboy defending. We do not have enough width on the pitch because we often play the wrong players in certain positions. Sitting back in a game with the purpose of trying to avoid losing is what I expect from Steve Bruce but it is not what I expect from Dean Smith. We lost to a better team in Chelsea but we did not give ourselves a chance to nick a point because we made defensive substitutions and not attacking ones.

So Wolves tomorrow

Wolves are sitting in 6th and are pushing for a Champions League qualification so, on paper, tomorrow is a win for them. But will Dean Smith get it right against Wolves or will be again rue missed chances. I think Smith has finally got the shackles off and tomorrow is the game for Smith to get it right. Due to the FA cup fixtures, there are only 2 teams from the relegation mini-league playing this weekend. Taking all 3 points is an opportunity to put some extra pressure on the others.

Team selection to get it right

To get 3 points, we must pick a team to win, and this is what Dean Smith must do to get it right against Wolves. Douglas Luiz has been our best player in the last few games, and therefore he must start. McGinn is not up to the pace of the Premier League yet, and he should make way for Conor Hourihane. Elmo scored against the Toon, and for this, he should keep the shirt. This will also give us more balance the right as Konsa is not providing enough width. I am not sure what formation we finished with against Newcastle, but we looked good and had both Davis and Samatta on the pitch. We need to repeat this, which will mean dropping ElGhazi and Trezeguet.

My Starting 11 against Wolves

As I said, I am not sure what formation we ended up with against the Toon, but I would like to see something like this against Wolves.

The important stuff

TV Channel: BT Sport 1

Aston Villa & Wolves team announcements on avfcvillablog.com: 11:30am (UK), 3:30am (Vancouver)

Program start on BT Sport 1: 12 midday (UK), 4am (Vancouver)

Kick-off: 12:30pm (UK), 4:30am (Vancouver)

Result Prediction: 1 – 0

Match Odds: Aston Villa 7/2, Draw 13/5 Wolves 8/11

Relegation Odds: Norwich 1/50, Villa 4/11 Bournemouth 2/5, West Ham 11/8, Watford 3/1, Brighton 20/1

https://avfcvillablog.com

www.avfc.co.uk

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AVFCVillablog
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jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

hi lads,
well.it seems the owners have accepted relegation,
the players have,
DS just hasnt got a clue what to do.
so why should we worry and bother about trying to stop up.
if by a miracle we do stop up.it will only be the same or even worse next season.
if we do go down,its back to square one yet again.

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

No need for you to accept it just yet mate…. maybe a few more games ?

I know I’m always trying to be optimistic, we are struggling but it ain’t over yet, sometimes a bit of faith goes along way.

I honestly think it just needs more time, we were always going to struggle. Forgien players, manager & coaches all new to the PL, i wasn’t expecting it all to click straight away.
How much time does it take? not sure but I know it took the sucessful teams best part of a season and a few tweeks to personnel. Exceptions to this are few and far between.

I don’t agree with the huge rebuild needed in the championship approach many are suggesting either, not sure thats ever worked for us before.

Sure, we’ve made mistakes as a club under this ownership but i think part of the plus side in the way we bought potential is we won’t have to sell the crown jewels (Jack the exception who wants away) to give our selves the time I’m talking about to gel a proper team.
I doubt the players we gambled on are on huge money and probably have contract clauses for reduced wages IF we drop.

Will anyone want Mings? (part of a defense with worst record for conceding), McGinn? (possibly damaged goods after injury & somewhat nullified in this league).

Its not over yet but I think Smith’s here for at least 10 or 12 games into next season to see if he can improve them with a couple of additions funded by Jack’s departure. Parachute payments, covid, reduced wages, FFP changes will all help us keep a nucleus together if the worst comes to the worst. I cant see it being a huge rebuild requirement like last summer.
Like I say it takes more time than most seem to think to build a team and we ain’t down yet.

Haven’t chatted in a while hope you’re doing well mate and the mrs is keeping you on your toes.
Be well mate ?

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Hi folks, haven’t been on in a couple of days. Been mad busy with work as we had a bit of a problem over the last few days which required a lot of work. Great result for Watford at the weekend though 🙂

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Just goes to show how quiet you must have been ‘working from home’ before now !

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago
Reply to  HenleyVillain

I like and say that it goes to show how organised and in control of my work that I have been ?????

But when shyte hits the fan it tends to cause problems

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

There was me thinking you were away to aras to meet the leprechaun and get your medal ,for being the new minister for arguments lol???

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago

Another result in our favour, fairly predictable, Southampton one of the best records in the PL away from home.
I think we just need an upset of a result to get the players and fans a bit more positive.

Talk of blaming the owners on a certain blog outrageous, I think they’ll remain patient with the set up in place even if fans won’t. NSWE strike me as fairly patient businessmen and I think they’ll be guided by CP. Whatever league where in (and its far from over) I think they’ll probably reassess 10 or 12 games into next season.
Not sure any club will be sacking their manager during the lockdown & these crazy circumstances, i would think the PR would be fairly negative for any club that did so. Not to mention possible law suits. The whole idea of a restart was crazy but we’re in it now and still have a chance.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

sorry mate,
why was the restart crazy,
just because we were in the shit,it seems that some were praying for a miracle.
if we wait for a vaccine,when was football supposed to start again.
and its a level playing field,all clubs are in the same boat.

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

It isn’t a level playing field though, is it? Any clubs having more home fixtures than away is disadvantaged. Any team with a strong squad is at an advantage now the rules have changed regarding subs. So, we are at a disadvantage – that’s why the restart was unfair. The season should have been abandoned – if they would have started next season with new rules for everyone, that’s obviously acceptable.

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago

Helped by Watford having to suspend 3 players for breaking lockdown rules. Hopefully they will be unavailable for their next game too.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago

What I blame the owners for is from a footballing point of view.
We have been around or in the bottom 3 for a fair while now and while I was always for giving Smith time it became clear that he was struggling at this level and change was needed otherwise we could go straight back down.
Smith is not entirely to blame but it’s always the manager who Carries the can for poor results.
This has been allowed to carry on until we now find ourselves on the brink of relegation and as the owners have the final say on hiring and firing who else can be blamed but the owners.
If you are running a business and things are going downhill quickly it’s the people at the top who have to take responsibility.
As I have said before, we should be eternally grateful to them for saving the club from administration, or worse, but should that exclude them from any criticism in how the club is performing on the football front.
If the worst does happen and we get relegated is it right to blame everyone but them ?

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

Obviously you and I disagree.
From a “football point of view” ???
NSWE no nothing about football, i don’t think that’s a surprise, we knew that when they took over, they have appointed a CEO to run the club for them.
By all means blame manager & CEO, coaching, DOF, but i think its a little early to be blaming the owners after they effectively saved our club from bankruptcy and have plowed in hundreds of millions.
Perhaps the CEO they appointed may turn out to be a mistake, time will tell, but i think its a little early to blame the owners as such for our current predicament.
I’m satisfied they thought they were doing the right thing in their approach to ownership and Purslow has all the right credentials having worked for a successful club before.
I think if you look at ownership in general of most football clubs they are not necessarily football people, their rich businessmen primarily, and thats probably a good thing.
Man City plowed in millions to start with but it took their owners quite a while to find the right regime & right manager and/or combination despite unlimited spending power pre FFP. Wolves regime under rich owners appointed Lambert ?

I get losing patience with a manager, we all want success, but does every CEO get it right and appoint the right manager at the first attempt? Evidence would suggest not.
Likewise does every owner get it right first time appointing a CEO and putting a regime in place?

We got promotion in effect a year ahead of schedule, CEO, manager, coaches, recruitment have all made mistakes as we well know, but owners have put their faith in some very experienced people to run the club on their behalf in a sustainable manner.
I think there has been little wrong with the way NSWE have gone about their ownership of AV. It also makes sense for every club or business to need some adjustments along the way to success, tbh they have barely started their tenure.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago

VV, i agree with a lot of what you are saying.
My concern is that although they may not know a lot about football they can surely see that we are in a precarious position.
Now being very successful business men i am sure they have had to be ruthless along the way to get where they are today.
It has become clear that Smith has found it hard at this level , and there is now very little time left to improve.
I find it hard to understand why the owners are prepared to risk their investment and possibly hundreds of millions if we drop into the Championship.
As i have said before Smith is not the only one who the blame should be aimed at, and as you rightly say the CEO etc. have to take the blame also.
Maybe the owners will put this right when the season ends, but why wait until after the horse has bolted?

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

hi all,
does anybody down at the bottom want to stop up.
watford was one club i thought would avoid relegation.
this looks like going to the last game of the season before we know who goes down.
the only trouble is,we may have missed the boat by not winning one game of late.
given the games coming up.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

I know 1 club that doesnt seem too bothered if they go down.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago

Southampton could have had 6.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago

Yet another result going our way.
A small glimmer of hope at this stage would be to take a gamble and make a change. Cant see it happening though as the trap door opens wider and nothing is done. Desperate times require desperate measures.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago

Is Begley in secret talks for the managers job at Villa, he hasn’t been heard from since shortly after the game yesterday.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

Think there more chance michael martin gave him a new job yesterday, we have finally got a new government 4 months after election l0l

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  Big fat ron

??, maybe we will get a new manager 4 months after we have been relegated.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

We need a new manager,but what has happened to our youth all hype no show

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

this talk of DS going is gathering speed

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Not according to the Bham Mail journo it isn’t

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  HenleyVillain

ah,what have they said mate.

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Greg Evans saying the board are supporting him and he stays for now

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  HenleyVillain

oh,ok mate.
thats dampened my spirit now.

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Best start looking forward to next season in the Championship. Can’t see many teams wanting many of our players and they’ll do pretty well in that league I think.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  HenleyVillain

looks that way mate.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago

I would be very surprised if Smith went at this stage, or Howe for that matter, unless they had already got someone else lined up.

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

His body language didn’t look right after the match. Making lame excuses won’t help his cause either. Terry also looks remote from the action just of late. I suspect something is going on behind the scenes.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  HenleyVillain

That may be our only chance of staying up, because as things stand we are almost certainly down.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

we have probably left it to late,
but they have got to try something.hes obviously lost the dressing room.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

I suspect your right mate, but even a remote chance is better than no chance at all.

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

That could be the case. He wasn’t a happy bunny

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  HenleyVillain

How’s he think we feel.

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

??

HenleyVillain
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HenleyVillain
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

Almost, I agree. But I can’t see anyone coming in at this stage doing any better with this shower.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  HenleyVillain

Maybe not, but at least they may be able to put a bit of fight into the players.
At least go down fighting rather than no fight at all, which is happening at the moment.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

thats my thinking too mate.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

dont know how true it is,
but there is a rumour that there is going to be a meeting tonight with DS about his future.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

thats why i never wanted them to win the league.

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Enjoy your chips ?
Looks like Villa have had theirs too.

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago

Off for golf catch up later ?

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

im off to chippy LOL ????

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago

They won’t get rid of Smith, in a covid restart, id be shocked, but i wouldn’t mind a new manager now. He’s incapable of inspiring them by looks of it, jogging around ball watching is not acceptable.
Marco Silva in for me, shake em up, regroup for smashing the championship.

Vancouvervillan
Guest
Vancouvervillan
5 months ago

Just finished watching, poor team, poor manager. We were never in it 2nd to ever ball, no off the ball running. Absolutely no fight, no desire from us today.
Decision to take Davies off just idiotic he’d just won us a freekick on the edge of the box. Samatta looks yet another waste of 10+ mil just like Trezeguet and El Ghazi. Jack at no.10 playing in the center circle passing to Luiz, we had zero penetration.
We need a miracle to stay up and by the looks of it plsyers are not good enough and disinterested.
Sad times.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

hi mate,
trouble is now,is that a few of our players are going this summer and have thrown the towel in,and that includes Jack.

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Jacks been as poor as anyone, I’m beginning to think we’d be a better team when he’s gone and we can invest the 80 mil. Mings, McGinn won’t be going anywhere based on this seasons performances.

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

mate,
if we go down a lot of the money coming in for our players,will go towards balancing the books.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago

4 matches a chance of 7 points we got 2,smith looks and sounds like lambert,I wouldn’t want to play for him

Vancouvervillan
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Vancouvervillan
5 months ago
Reply to  Big fat ron

They don’t do they. We are in the R zone and there’s no desire in the players to do anything about it. Like I say 2nd to every ball when survival on the line just not acceptable

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago

Only 1 is luis,mings hause konsa passable,never seen less effort

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

ive just found out that we dont play for 2 weeks.
surely this is the last chance to get rid of DS .

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

We haven’t played for 6 months nothing changed ??

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago
Reply to  Big fat ron

??????

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

is it too late to bring big sam in.
and thats something i would never have said before.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  jcv

Still not to late for big san
Anyone says start conor again deserves shooting

jcv
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jcv
5 months ago

it looks like,
goodbye prem goodbye,
goodbye prem goodbye,
well see you again,
but fucknows bloody when.
goodbye prem goodbye.
????

Begley
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Begley
5 months ago

Disappointing result that and a disappointing game.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  Begley

Absolute pathetic, 4 games 2 scrappy goals scored ,we are a shambles on the field and off it

Muz1
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Muz1
5 months ago

If the players , or management for that matter, showed some passion or fight, maybe just maybe there may be a glimmer of hope.
As it is we are going down without a whimper, they should all hang their heads in shame.

Big fat ron
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Big fat ron
5 months ago
Reply to  Muz1

Hear hear

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